October 27, 2026

Nate Silver Says Midterm Losses Could Make Trump a “Super-Lame Duck”

Silver’s newsletter estimates Democrats have more than a 90% chance of winning the House and over a 70% chance of retaking the Senate.
He pointed to the president’s party’s usual midterm losses and stronger Democratic candidates in key races as factors behind the forecasts.
Silver said Democrats would likely turn out in high numbers, while Republican turnout is less certain.

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