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September 16, 2026

U.S. Trade War with Canada Exposes Key Battleground States to Economic Fallout

  • Five battleground states—Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—are particularly vulnerable to the economic impact of Canada's retaliatory tariffs, with billions in exports at risk.
  • Ohio is identified as the most exposed state, with approximately $2.3 billion in exports affected, particularly in machinery and transportation.
  • The auto industry in Michigan is notably impacted due to intertwined supply chains with Canada, complicating costs and production.
  • Rising costs from tariffs are expected to affect American consumers, raising affordability concerns as the midterm elections approach.

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