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June 11, 2026
Senate Race Forecast Shifts, Favoring Democrats in Key States
- Sabato's Crystal Ball moved North Carolina to lean Democrat, Alaska to toss-up, and Ohio to toss-up, indicating a tightening race.
- Democrats need to gain four seats to reclaim the Senate majority, with current Republican control at 53-47.
- Political headwinds, including economic concerns and low approval ratings for President Trump, are challenging Republican incumbents.
2 Sources
- Senate map tightens as top forecaster moves 3 races toward DemocratsJun 11, 2026 at 2:35 PM · Fox News
- Election handicapper moves 3 Senate races toward DemocratsJun 11, 2026 at 3:36 PM · The Hill