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June 11, 2026
Senate Race Forecast Shifts Favorably for Democrats
- Sabato's Crystal Ball moved three Senate races toward Democrats, indicating a tighter race ahead of the midterms.
- North Carolina shifted from toss-up to lean Democrat, while Alaska and Ohio are now toss-ups, increasing Democratic chances.
- Democrats need to gain four seats to reclaim the Senate, but Republicans still hold an advantage by needing to win just one toss-up.
2 Sources
- Senate map tightens as top forecaster moves 3 races toward DemocratsJun 11, 2026 at 2:35 PM · Fox News
- Election handicapper moves 3 Senate races toward DemocratsJun 11, 2026 at 3:36 PM · The Hill